HOW WILL THE 2020 ELECTION AFFECT REAL ESTATE?
Here’s what we know
Do you want content like this delivered to your inbox?
Share

What Are Experts Saying about Home Prices?

Share

What Are Experts Saying about Home Prices?

Andy Rose

Andy brings to the table 8 years of real estate experience including becoming a licensed Georgia broker in 2018 and a licensed Broker in Florida ...

Andy brings to the table 8 years of real estate experience including becoming a licensed Georgia broker in 2018 and a licensed Broker in Florida ...

Jul 16 3 minutes read

Last week, a very well-respected real estate analytics firm surprised many with their home price projection for the next twelve months. CoreLogic, in their latest Home Price Index said:


“The economic downturn that started in March 2020 is predicted to cause a 6.6% drop in the HPI by May 2021, which would be the first decrease in annual home prices in over 9 years.”


The forecast was surprising as it was strikingly different than any other projection by major analysts. Six of the other eight forecasts call for appreciation, and the two who project depreciation indicate it will be one percent or less.

Here is a graph showing all of the projections:

What Are Experts Saying about Home Prices? | MyKCM

There’s a simple formula to determine the future price of any item: calculate the supply of that item in ratio to the demand for that item. In housing right now, demand far exceeds supply. Last week mortgage applications to buy a home were 33% higher than they were at the same time last year. The available inventory of homes for sale is 31% lower than it was last year. Normally, these numbers should call for homes to continue to appreciate.

Bottom Line

Because of the uncertainty with the pandemic, any economic prediction is extremely difficult. However, looking at the limited supply of homes for sale and the tremendous demand for housing, it is difficult to disagree with the majority of analysts who are calling for price appreciation.

Selling Your Home? 

Get your home's value - our custom reports include accurate and up to date information.

Get Home Value
We use cookies to enhance your browsing experience and deliver our services. By continuing to visit this site, you agree to our use of cookies. More info